← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Apr 3, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Burak Seker, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Kayserispor win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kayserispor +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 63' | 🟨 | Muğdat Çelik · Kayserispor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fousseni Diabaté · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 33.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1481.01 | 1509.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.66 | -13.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 14.90 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |