← Süper Lig 2020 · Fri, Mar 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Bahattin Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Kayserispor win | 21% | 4.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Daniel Avramovski · Kayserispor |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yannis Salibur · Karagumruk |
| 58' | ⚽ | Lucas Castro · Karagumruk |
| 86' | ⚽ | Artur Sobiech · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 504.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1550.52 | 1492.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.23 | -0.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.48 | 27.82 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |