← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Mar 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Denizlispor win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Denizlispor −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | André Sousa · Gaziantep |
| 12' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nouha Dicko · Gaziantep |
| 50' | 🟥 | Özer Özdemir · Denizlispor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Gaziantep |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kubilay Aktas · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Muhammet Demir · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 895.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1574.07 | 1404.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.90 | 10.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.30 | 29.04 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |