← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Mar 14, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Ankaragücü win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Torgeir Borven · Ankaragücü |
| 58' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 61' | ⚽ | Torgeir Borven · Ankaragücü |
| 63' | ⚽ | Endri Çekiçi · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 41.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1468.11 | 1543.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.16 | 44.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 32.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.19 | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |