← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 58% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
| Kayserispor win | 17% | 5.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −1 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Hatayspor −1 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 36' | ⚽ | Uğur Demirok · Kayserispor |
| 52' | 🟥 | Youssouf Koné · Hatayspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Joseph Attamah · Kayserispor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pablo Santos · Hatayspor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Yusuf Abdioğlu · Hatayspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| coach days | 218.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1641.97 | 1490.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.54 | -3.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| league points | 58.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 27.13 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |