← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Denizlispor win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Denizlispor +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Zeki Yavru · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 16' | ⚽ | Stevie Mallan · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Recep Niyaz · Denizlispor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Recep Niyaz · Denizlispor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Benjamin Tetteh · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Muris Mešanovič · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fernando Zuqui · Yeni Malatyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Yeni Malatyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1393.83 | 1474.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.95 | -24.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 29.82 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |