← Süper Lig 2020 · Thu, Mar 4, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Antalyaspor win | 17% | 5.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Antalyaspor −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Attila Szalai · Fenerbahce |
| 12' | ⚽ | Fredy · Antalyaspor |
| 21' | 🟨 | Fredy · Antalyaspor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Amilton da Silva · Antalyaspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Naldo · Antalyaspor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dever Orgill · Antalyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ferdi Kadıoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Sosa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ruud Boffin · Antalyaspor |
| coach days | 215.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1679.99 | 1540.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.94 | -6.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 61.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 28.95 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |