← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
| Rizespor win | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Erik Sabo · Rizespor |
| 32' | 🟥 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Yasin Pehlivan · Rizespor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Yassine Meriah · Rizespor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Olarenwaju Kayode · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 210.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1457.23 | 1551.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.25 | -0.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |