← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Volkan Bayarslan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Karagumruk win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Karagumruk +0 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 54' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Alanyaspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Juanfran · Alanyaspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 484.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 4.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1559.99 | 1628.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.60 | -15.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 28.71 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |