← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Ankaragücü win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.75 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Ankaragücü −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alper Potuk · Ankaragücü |
| 16' | ⚽ | Torgeir Borven · Ankaragücü |
| 43' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 45' | 🟥 | Joseph Paintsil · Ankaragücü |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 74' | ⚽ | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 14 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| coach days | 210.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1636.78 | 1427.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.97 | -26.28 |
| eye test v1 | 1.01 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| league points | 54.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 28.17 |
| state index | 0.61 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |