⚽ Tomulator
Overview
◈Dashboard📅Today's games◎State of play
Money
💷Bets & strategies
Explore
⊞Leagues & seasons📐Metrics▤Data sources
Engine room
🎲Simulations🧪Lab≣Catalog?How this works

Yeni Malatyaspor 2–3 Konyaspor

← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Sarper Barıs Saka, Turkey

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Yeni Malatyaspor win39%2.45
Draw31%3.10
Konyaspor win29%3.30

across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Asian handicap

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Konyaspor −0.2553%1.83
Yeni Malatyaspor −0.2547%2.07

across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Under57%1.67
Over43%2.27

across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Timeline

21'🟨Afriyie Acquah · Yeni Malatyaspor
22'🟨Nejc Skubic · Konyaspor
24'⚽Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor
35'🟨Benjamin Tetteh · Yeni Malatyaspor
45'🟨Abdülkerim Bardakcı · Konyaspor
45'⚽ (pen)Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor
72'⚽Ismaël Diomandé · Konyaspor
80'⚽Sokol Cikalleshi · Konyaspor
84'🟨Erdon Daci · Konyaspor
84'⚽Sokol Cikalleshi · Konyaspor

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

2Half-time score0
7Shots11
2On target4
3Corners8
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricYeni MalatyasporKonyaspor
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.330.25
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.310.21
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.340.17
blown lead rate (last 20)0.000.10
box share (last 5)0.510.58
cards avg (last 5)2.40
Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueYeni Malatya Stadyumu
2.80
coach days19.0019.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.050.10
congestion 21d3.003.00
conversion (last 5)0.110.05
corner diff avg (last 5)-0.402.40
corners against avg (last 5)5.602.60
corners for avg (last 5)5.205.00
corners volatility (last 10)2.631.77
defensive leak (last 5)0.090.08
dominance (last 5)0.330.53
elo1490.811521.35
elo momentum (last 5)-13.60-11.19
eye test v1-1.15-0.98
eye trend v1-0.16-0.07
first sub minute (last 10)52.3050.90
form points (last 5)3.005.00
goal diff avg (last 5)-0.60-0.20
goals against avg (last 5)1.200.80
goals for avg (last 5)0.600.60
goals volatility (last 10)1.371.51
h2 goals (last 10)0.900.90
h2h win rate (last 5)0.500.50
ht lead rate (last 20)0.150.15
keeper form v10.82—
league points34.0033.00
league rank11.0014.00
matches since blank1.001.00
matches since clean sheet3.000.00
matches since win6.000.00
pass acc avg (last 5)72.2080.60
possession avg (last 5)40.4050.80
rest days4.886.10
scorer concentration0.180.25
season ppg1.261.27
shot diff avg (last 5)-7.402.20
shots for avg (last 5)7.0010.80
skill v1-1.050.42
sot against avg (last 5)4.803.20
sot for avg (last 10)3.403.40
sot for avg (last 3)2.333.00
sot for avg (last 5)2.202.40
squad age27.9827.95
state index-0.75-0.14
sterile dominance v1-0.180.50
threat rate (last 10)0.220.24
threat rate (last 3)0.190.19
threat rate (last 5)0.180.21
venue ppg (last 5)0.800.60