← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Feb 13, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Halis Ozkahya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Karagumruk win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Fenerbahce |
| 53' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gastón Campi · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 470.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1591.22 | 1674.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.01 | -2.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| league points | 47.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |