← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Burak Seker, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Ankaragücü win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Max Gradel · Sivasspor |
| 20' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Ankaragücü |
| 48' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Sivasspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
| 58' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Ankaragücü |
| 66' | ⚽ (og) | Ahmet Oğuz · Ankaragücü |
| 69' | ⚽ | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Şahverdi Çetin · Ankaragücü |
| 77' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
| coach days | 6.00 | 617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1440.59 | 1524.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.28 | -41.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| league points | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 4.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 30.67 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |