← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Feb 3, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Kayserispor win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Khouma Babacar · Alanyaspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Anton Maglica · Kayserispor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟨 | İlhan Parlak · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Doğan Alemdar · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟥 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nehuén Paz · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 33.00 | 613.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1493.93 | 1643.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.06 | -6.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| league points | 32.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 64.40 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | 1.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.25 | 28.87 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |