← Süper Lig 2020 · Tue, Feb 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Hatayspor win | 24% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hatayspor +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Fenerbahce |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mesut Çaytemel · Hatayspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Pablo Santos · Hatayspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | ⚽ (og) | Jean Claude Billong · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Altay Bayındır · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| coach days | 185.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1605.81 | 1687.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.13 | 21.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| league points | 44.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.52 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 29.27 | 28.01 |
| state index | 0.73 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |