← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Jan 31, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Sarper Barıs Saka, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Denizlispor win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Denizlispor +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Sakıb Aytaç · Denizlispor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 41' | ⚽ | Recep Niyaz · Denizlispor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabiano · Denizlispor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marko Mihojević · Goztep |
| 79' | ⚽ | Muris Mešanovič · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 91.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1385.22 | 1499.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.22 | 6.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.26 | 27.50 |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |