← Süper Lig 2020 · Mon, Jan 25, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 |
| Kayserispor win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Kayserispor −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 20' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Fenerbahce |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mbwana Samatta · Fenerbahce |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nurettin Korkmaz · Kayserispor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 177.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1677.55 | 1474.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.21 | 59.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 46.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 28.16 |
| state index | 1.02 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |