← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Jan 24, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.64 |
| Goztep win | 14% | 6.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −1.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Besiktas −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Cherif Ndiaye · Goztep |
| 39' | ⚽ | Zlatko Tripić · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Peter Žulj · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 48' | ⚽ | Adem Ljajić · Besiktas |
| 51' | 🟨 | Valentin Rosier · Besiktas |
| 77' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ersin Destanoğlu · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 389.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1744.53 | 1502.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.26 | 9.97 |
| eye test v1 | 1.01 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 2.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| league points | 50.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.27 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.46 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.11 | 27.60 |
| state index | 1.53 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |