← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Jan 24, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Erkan Ozdamar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Denizlispor win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Denizlispor +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Gastón Campi · Karagumruk |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lucas Castro · Karagumruk |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 44' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ángelo Sagal · Denizlispor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 78' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mix Diskerud · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 84.00 | 450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1392.59 | 1546.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.75 | -15.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| league points | 15.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.19 | 29.03 |
| state index | -1.41 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |