← Süper Lig 2020 · Thu, Jan 21, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Sivasspor win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Nazım Sangaré · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aaron Appindangoyé · Sivasspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 600.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1566.03 | 1679.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.66 | 36.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| league points | 24.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 5.13 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 31.16 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.06 | 1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |