← Süper Lig 2020 · Thu, Jan 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| Karagumruk win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk +0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Koray Altınay · Karagumruk |
| 33' | 🟨 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad · Karagumruk |
| 44' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 50' | ⚽ | Bernard Mensah · Besiktas |
| 66' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 70' | ⚽ | Bernard Mensah · Besiktas |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 447.00 | 386.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1558.14 | 1732.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.54 | 34.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| league points | 34.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 2.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 29.48 | 25.52 |
| state index | 0.18 | 1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |