← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Jan 17, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Koray Gencerler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Denizlispor win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Denizlispor +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Jean Claude Billong · Hatayspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 47' | ⚽ (og) | Muhammet Ozkal · Hatayspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jean Claude Billong · Hatayspor |
| 84' | 🟥 | Jean Claude Billong · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sakıb Aytaç · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 77.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1413.72 | 1556.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.95 | 5.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.91 | 28.81 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |