← Süper Lig 2020 · Fri, Jan 15, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 26' | 🟨 | Giovanni Sio · Genclerbirligi |
| 36' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 54' | 🟨 | Arda Kızıldağ · Genclerbirligi |
| 68' | 🟨 | Sefa Yılmaz · Genclerbirligi |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Piris da Motta · Genclerbirligi |
| 80' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Genclerbirligi |
| 88' | ⚽ | Artur Sobiech · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Zargo Touré · Genclerbirligi |
| 89' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vato Arveladze · Karagumruk |
| coach days | 75.00 | 441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1439.18 | 1545.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.15 | -4.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 19.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 29.63 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |