← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Jan 10, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabıyık, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Hatayspor win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 7' | ⚽ | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 23' | ⚽ | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rayane Aabid · Hatayspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean Claude Billong · Hatayspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Pablo Santos · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| coach days | 162.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1553.93 | 1712.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.62 | 32.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.50 | 24.54 |
| state index | 0.41 | 1.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |