← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Jan 9, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Gaziantep win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 31' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Günay Güvenç · Gaziantep |
| 41' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 47' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kubilay Aktas · Gaziantep |
| 74' | 🟨 | Robin Yalçın · Sivasspor |
| 79' | 🟥 | Jefferson · Gaziantep |
| 85' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 588.00 | 831.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1547.48 | 1639.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.73 | 33.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.84 |
| league points | 19.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.87 | 30.01 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |