← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Jan 6, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Kayserispor win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.92 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Denis Alibec · Kayserispor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Muhammet Ozkal · Denizlispor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yaw Ackah · Kayserispor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fabiano · Denizlispor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Daniel Avramovski · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Doğan Alemdar · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nurettin Korkmaz · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 66.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1422.34 | 1415.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.42 | -31.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 2.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.70 | 28.01 |
| state index | -0.42 | -1.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |