← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Dec 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Ankaragücü win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ankaragücü +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
| 21' | ⚽ | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
| 37' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel Łukasik · Ankaragücü |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joseph Paintsil · Ankaragücü |
| 71' | 🟨 | Özer Özdemir · Denizlispor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Recep Niyaz · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bolingi · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 56.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1428.95 | 1429.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.92 | 22.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| league points | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 30.81 | 26.35 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |