← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Dec 27, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Gaziantep win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Gaziantep |
| 26' | ⚽ | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 29' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Gaziantep |
| 36' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Alanyaspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik · Gaziantep |
| 53' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kevin Mirallas · Gaziantep |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 71' | 🟨 | Umut Güneş · Alanyaspor |
| 79' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| 88' | 🟨 | André · Gaziantep |
| 89' | 🟨 | Steven Caulker · Alanyaspor |
| coach days | 818.00 | 575.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1623.78 | 1660.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 81.42 | -41.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| league points | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 65.20 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 30.43 | 29.85 |
| state index | 1.12 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |