← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Volkan Bayarslan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Hatayspor win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Goztep −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jean Claude Billong · Hatayspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Goztep |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Lamine Gassama · Goztep |
| 77' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alexandros Katranis · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 687.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1515.00 | 1540.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.46 | -12.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 28.60 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |