← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Karagumruk win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Karagumruk |
| -5' | 🟥 | Badou Ndiaye · Karagumruk |
| 11' | ⚽ | Selim Ilgaz · Hatayspor |
| 19' | 🟨 | Enzo Roco · Karagumruk |
| 36' | 🟨 | Pablo Santos · Hatayspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Emiliano Viviano · Karagumruk |
| 83' | ⚽ | Aaron-Salem Boupendza · Hatayspor |
| 84' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 133.00 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟥 | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
| 407.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1546.37 | 1548.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.87 | 13.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.56 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 2.75 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.78 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 28.99 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |