← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Dec 9, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Goztep win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.87 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kubilay Sönmez · Goztep |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manolis Siopis · Alanyaspor |
| 70' | ⚽ | Zlatko Tripić · Goztep |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Bareiro · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 677.00 | 557.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1512.01 | 1685.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.03 | 2.41 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| league points | 17.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 2.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 28.54 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |