← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Dec 6, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabıyık, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Denizlispor win | 19% | 5.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
| 22' | 🟨 | Zakarya Bergdich · Denizlispor |
| 32' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Denizlispor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gökhan Gönül · Fenerbahce |
| 53' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | 🟥 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 35.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 7.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1421.02 | 1623.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.34 | -0.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.90 | 28.97 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |