← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Fırat Aydınus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Alanyaspor +0.75 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Berat Ayberk Özdemir · Genclerbirligi |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Polomat · Genclerbirligi |
| 75' | ⚽ | Daniel Candeias · Genclerbirligi |
| 78' | 🟨 | Giovanni Sio · Genclerbirligi |
| 81' | 🟨 | Zargo Touré · Genclerbirligi |
| 81' | 🟨 | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Berkan Kutlu · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arda Kızıldağ · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 34.00 | 553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1403.81 | 1701.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.15 | 30.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| league points | 5.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.45 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 29.35 |
| state index | -1.38 | 1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |