← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Kayserispor win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Goztep |
| 40' | 🟨 | Dimitris Kolovetsios · Kayserispor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Berkan Emir · Goztep |
| 73' | ⚽ | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Lennon · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 673.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1515.64 | 1443.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.07 | -0.15 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | — |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 29.67 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |