← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Nov 29, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Besiktas win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Besiktas −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marcel Tisserand · Fenerbahce |
| 20' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 25' | 🟨 | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 34' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Fenerbahce |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 50' | 🟥 | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 53' | ⚽ | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 63' | 🟨 | Luiz Gustavo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 68' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | ⚽ | Fabrice N'Sakala · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mauricio Lemos · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souza · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentin Rosier · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 120.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.83 | 1.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1634.78 | 1659.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.99 | 11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.31 | 25.52 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |