← Süper Lig 2020 · Fri, Nov 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Ankaragücü win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Trabzonspor +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Zvonimir Šarlija · Ankaragücü |
| 21' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lewis Baker · Trabzonspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Uğurcan Çakır · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Djaniny · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 87.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1413.54 | 1603.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.73 | -31.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.15 | 5.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.09 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |