← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Sivasspor win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 44' | ⚽ (og) | Eric Lichaj · Sivasspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samba Camara · Sivasspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Isaac Cofie · Sivasspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mamadou Samassa · Sivasspor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eric Lichaj · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| coach days | 386.00 | 539.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1544.93 | 1555.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.93 | -17.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.88 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 12.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.38 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 30.65 | 31.02 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |