← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Ankaragücü win | 28% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Artur Sobiech · Karagumruk |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 27' | 🟨 | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Torgeir Borven · Ankaragücü |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bolingi · Ankaragücü |
| 35' | ⚽ | Enzo Roco · Karagumruk |
| 47' | 🟨 | Zvonimir Šarlija · Ankaragücü |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luka Adžić · Ankaragücü |
| 54' | 🟨 | Enzo Roco · Karagumruk |
| 59' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emre Güral · Ankaragücü |
| coach days | 68.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1421.34 | 1546.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.46 | -5.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 65.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.17 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.57 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 30.57 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |