← Süper Lig 2020 · Mon, Oct 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Denizlispor win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Denizlispor +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 25' | 🟨 | Dorukhan Toköz · Besiktas |
| 27' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Denizlispor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Valentin Rosier · Besiktas |
| 39' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 48' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 58' | 🟨 | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 67' | 🟥 | Souza · Besiktas |
| 76' | ⚽ | Muris Mešanovič · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 86.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1431.36 | 1648.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.07 | -29.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 22.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.86 | 24.52 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |