← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Oct 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Goztep win | 27% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | José Sosa · Fenerbahce |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Guilherme · Goztep |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luiz Gustavo · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 51' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | 🟨 | Brown Ideye · Goztep |
| 63' | ⚽ | Guilherme · Goztep |
| 64' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | 🟨 | Altay Bayındır · Fenerbahce |
| 65' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 75' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marko Mihojević · Goztep |
| coach days | 625.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1493.81 | 1615.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.07 | 20.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 15.13 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 29.37 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |