← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Oct 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Hatayspor win | 25% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 23' | ⚽ | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 34' | ⚽ | Adam Bareiro · Alanyaspor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Alanyaspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Rayane Aabid · Hatayspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | François Moubandje · Alanyaspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Pablo Santos · Hatayspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 67' | ⚽ | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 77' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 15 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| coach days | 491.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | — |
| elo | 1645.35 | 1562.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.24 | 62.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 67.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.90 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 30.08 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |