← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Oct 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.57 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi −1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Besiktas −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 40' | 🟨 | Rıdvan Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 50' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Polomat · Genclerbirligi |
| 87' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Besiktas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Giovanni Sio · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 277.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1665.06 | 1439.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.70 | -6.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 15.10 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.52 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 30.46 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |