← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Sep 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasin Kol, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Gaziantep win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Goztep −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 43' | 🟨 | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 50' | ⚽ | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 61' | ⚽ | Brown Ideye · Goztep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Paweł Olkowski · Gaziantep |
| 88' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 603.00 | 726.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1482.56 | 1504.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.09 | -6.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 29.33 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |