← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Sep 12, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Denizlispor win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Denizlispor −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 23' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 25' | ⚽ | Atınç Nukan · Goztep |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 50' | ⚽ | Marcio Mossoró · Goztep |
| 62' | ⚽ | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 71' | ⚽ | Zlatko Tripić · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 589.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1468.74 | 1430.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.90 | -5.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 28.92 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |