← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Apr 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 51% | 2.05 |
| Kortrijk win | 26% | 4.03 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mechelen +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 14' | 🟨 | Steven Defour · Mechelen |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 46' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 74' | 🟨 | Michiel Jonckheere · Kortrijk |
| 81' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 76.00 | 991.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1473.55 | 1572.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.45 | -1.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| league points | 42.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 27.85 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |