← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sun, Apr 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 60% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.88 |
| Waregem win | 19% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Waregem +1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 29' | ⚽ | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 30' | 🟨 | Damien Marcq · Waregem |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 48' | ⚽ | Michael Ngadeu · Gent |
| 51' | 🟨 | Olivier Deschacht · Waregem |
| 57' | 🟨 | Roman Bezus · Gent |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe · Gent |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alexandre De Bruyn · Gent |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · Waregem |
| 84' | ⚽ | Roman Yaremchuk · Gent |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ewoud Pletinckx · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Regenboogstadion |
| coach days | 3426.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1519.73 | 1608.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.00 | -19.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 52.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |