← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.51 |
| Waregem win | 21% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Waregem −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 33' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ferdy Druijf · Mechelen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · Waregem |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ferdy Druijf · Mechelen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lucas Bijker · Mechelen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · Waregem |
| 80' | ⚽ | Igor De Camargo · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Issa Kaboré · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 18 |
| 12 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 983.00 | 3418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1561.48 | 1530.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.48 | -8.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 50.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |