← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Antwerp win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Elias Cobbaut · Anderlecht |
| 52' | ⚽ | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 62' | ⚽ | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 77' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · Anderlecht |
| 84' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 89' | ⚽ | Maxime Le Marchand · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 94.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1669.61 | 1619.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.45 | 4.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 66.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 15.16 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 23.14 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |