β Jupiler Pro League 2020 Β· Sun, Apr 4, 11:30 AM UTC Β· ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Beerschot VA win | 27% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA β0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Club Brugge β0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | β½ | Giulian Biancone Β· Club Brugge |
| 33' | π¨ | Ryan Sanusi Β· Beerschot VA |
| 34' | β½ (pen) | Ike Ugbo Β· Club Brugge |
| 38' | π₯ | Dimitar Velkovski Β· Club Brugge |
| 44' | π¨ | Leonardo Lopes Β· Club Brugge |
| 49' | π¨ | Giulian Biancone Β· Club Brugge |
| 50' | β½ | Jan Van den Bergh Β· Beerschot VA |
| 73' | π¨ | Ike Ugbo Β· Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 62.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1627.87 | 1553.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.31 | 15.15 |
| eye test v1 | -1.48 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.75 |
| league points | 102.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 71.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 0.70 | 28.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.36 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 22.68 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |