← Jupiler Pro League 2020 · Sat, Apr 3, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 39% | 2.45 |
| St Truiden win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Yuma Suzuki · St Truiden |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Ilombe Mboyo · St Truiden |
| 65' | 🟨 | Issa Kaboré · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Igor De Camargo · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stayen |
| coach days | 123.00 | 976.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1499.06 | 1571.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.03 | -18.94 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 37.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.67 | 80.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 28.86 | 13.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 27.32 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |